The United States Autism Epidemic:
Our Bitter Harvest
 

The numbers of children being diagnosed with autism is rising at a meteoric rate--too fast to be explained by more frequent diagnostic recognition.  The following figures are statistics maintained by the Department of Education for children with autism aged 6-21, who are given Special Education services under IDEA (the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act).  The totals reflect each of the 50 states, the District of Columbia and Puerto Rico, with combined totals below.  Where increase percentages rise past a certain point, approximately 5000%, the rate is given below as "near infinite."  Projections for coming years are listed beneath, based on current figures, rates, and typical research/intervention patterns.  The increasing numbers of students with autism can also be seen clearly when statistics are examined by age group.  Below the nationwide charts are the numbers of New Jersey students with autism as of December 1, 2001 (for the calendar year 2001/2002), broken down by chronological age, taken from data compiled for the upcoming 24th Annual Report to Congress on the Implementation of the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act by the Office of Special Education Programs, Trenton, New Jersey.

Explanations for the surge in autism rates abound.  One recent perspective appears in the Sunday Herald, United Kingdom, quoting Autism Autoimmunity Project member F. Edward Yazbak, M.D., F.A.A.P. (http://www.sundayherald.com/print21347), also available on this site.  The argument that autism is primarily a genetic phenomenon has been the leading one over the decades, and still receives significant -- probably the majority -- of scientific funding; however, an astute delineation of the impacts of environmental factors versus genetics on spiralling disease incidence was provided by Dr. Bengt Olle Bengtsson, Professor of Evolutionary Genetics and Chairman of the Department of Genetics at Lund University, Sweden, for FEATNews, April 1, 2002, excerpted at http://libnt2.lib.tcu.edu/staff/lruede/genetheory.html.  Excerpts from a variety of scientific publications are found in "The Causes of Autism and the Need for Immunological Research:  Excerpts from the Autism Literature," elsewhere on this site.

Additional raw data can be accessed at http://www.ideadata.org/tables24th\ar_aa3.htm, for 2000-2001; at http://www.IDEAdata.org/tables/ar_aa2.htm, for the year 1999-2000; and http://www.ed.gov/offices/OSERS/OSEP/Research, for data prior to 1999 (Table AA2), along with complete texts of the Annual Reports to Congress on the Implementation of the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act, 1996 forward.
 
 

Autism Incidence Rates Derived From U. S. Department of Education Figures
STATE
1992-1993
2000-2001
PERCENT INCREASE
       
Alabama
 68
 765
1,025 
Alaska
8
195
over 5000%
Arizona
199
1,119
462
Arkansas
30
671
2,137
California
1,605
10,557
558
Colorado
14
453
 over 5000%
Connecticut
164
1,225
647
Delaware
15
263
1,653
District of Columbia
0
103
over 5000%
Florida
582
3,926
575
Georgia
262
1,916
631
Hawaii
52
276
431
Idaho
39
241
646
Illinois
5
3,103
over 5000%
Indiana
273
2,621
860
Iowa
67
537
701
Kansas
74
619
736
Kentucky
38
864
2,174
Louisiana
409
1,145
180
Maine
37
444
1,100
Maryland
28
1,933
over 5000%
Massachusetts
493
575
17
Michigan
288
4,075
1,315
Minnesota
296
2,448
727
Mississippi
0
385
over 5000%
Missouri
336
1,589
373
Montana
20
163
715
Nebraska
4
337
 over 5000%
Nevada
5
394
over 5000%
New Hampshire
0
342
over 5000%
New Jersey
446
2,925
559
New Mexico
16
225
1,305
New York
1,648
5,943
260
North Carolina
786
2,374
202
North Dakota
9
118
over 5000%
Ohio
22
2,217
over 5000%
Oklahoma
31
666
2,048
Oregon
37
2,516
 over 5000%
Pennsylvania
346
3,304
855
Puerto Rico
266
473
78
Rhode Island
19
309
1,526
South Carolina
141
852
504
South Dakota
36
227
531
Tennessee
304
935
208
Texas
1,444
6,023
317
Utah
105
584
456
Vermont
6
160
over 5000%
Virginia
539
1,983
268
Washington
476
1,620
240
West Virginia
101
312
209
Wisconsin
18
1,823
over 5000%
Wyoming
15
94
527
TOTALS
 ...1992-1993...
 ...2000-2001...
        ........OVERALL INCREASE 
50 States, DC, Puerto Rico :
12,222
78,717
544%

 
Projected Autism Incidence Rates Based on U.S. Dept. of Education Figures
TOTALS
  2 000- 200 1
2001-2002
2002-2003
       
50 States, DC, Puerto Rico : 
  78,717
94,965
113,000+

 
Age Breakdown of Students With Autism for the State of New Jersey
December 1, 2001  --  Calendar Year In Progress, 2001/2002
Age 06
Age 07
Age 08
Age 09
Age 10
Age 11
Age 12
Age 13
               
514
505
465
439
360
257
208
165

 
Total number of students represented :  3,501
(presently posted figures do not yet include 2002)

 
Age 14
Age 15
Age 16
Age 17
Age 18
Age 19
Age 20
Age 21
               
145
124
81
73
58
63
30
14